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Guide to Analyzing Betting Odds with 90% Accuracy

If you want to excel in online football betting, you must first understand how to analyze betting odds offered by bookmakers. However, this is not an easy task, requiring both knowledge and experience. If you're new to betting and unsure how to analyze odds, don't skip this article as golden football tips will undoubtedly be beneficial to you!

Understanding Betting Odds

Before diving into how to accurately analyze betting odds, it's essential to understand what betting odds are. Betting odds refer to the various wagering ratios for football or any other sport provided by bookmakers for players to bet on after careful calculation.

In football betting, there are numerous types of online betting odds, such as Handicap Odds (Asian Handicap), Over/Under Odds, Total Goals (Over/Under), European Odds, Corner Kick Odds, Throw-in Odds, Score Odds, Yellow Card Odds, and more.

Each type of betting odds requires a different approach to analysis. Therefore, if you want to win bets when betting on sports, especially football, you must know how to read odds, understand the characteristics of odds, and know how to analyze them.

Major online bookmakers employ skilled and experienced teams to analyze betting odds and provide reasonable odds that are still advantageous to the bookmakers. Smaller-scale online bookmakers that lack their own odds analysis teams often purchase odds from other providers.

In general, if you want to win bets, you must learn how to analyze betting odds. Otherwise, your losing ratio will be exceptionally high.

Analyzing Betting Odds for Under Bets

Many bettors prefer betting on Under bets in football because of their relatively high winning odds. Additionally, if you feel that betting on Under is not safe, you can switch to betting on Over. This way, you have the opportunity to win on both ends. Moreover, betting on Under can also be an effective way to bet on draw outcomes.

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Here are two methods for analyzing Under bets and their advantages:

Analyzing Odds When the Away Team is Handicapped ¼

If you see on the odds board that the home team is handicapped against the away team by -¼ or -0.25, you can interpret it as follows:

  • The strength of the home team and the away team are equal.

  • The home team is handicapped by -0.25 due to the home advantage.

  • If the odds for the home team are high, for example, -0.94, it means that the bookmaker wants to lure players into this bet.

  • If the odds for the away team are low, for example, 0.87, it means that the bookmaker does not want players to bet on this outcome.

For Total Goals bets, if the odds for Over are above 90%, it's considered high.

Analyzing Odds When the Away Team is Handicapped ¼

After observing certain indicators while monitoring the odds board from bookmakers, you can make the following predictions:

  • The away team has good strength and is not inferior to the home team due to the low odds for the handicap bet.

  • If the Over/Under line is minimal, around 2 goals, there is a possibility of both teams playing cautiously with fewer goals.

  • When the home team scores, the away team will push forward to seek an equalizer due to the high odds for the draw.

  • If you want to bet on this match:

  • Bet on the away team (Underdog) +0.25.

  • If the away team scores first, stay put. If the home team scores first, bet when the Total Goals odds reach 2 or 1.75.

  • Around the 70th minute, if the score is 0-1 for the away team, bet on Over 1.5 goals for half of the stake because the home team is likely to push forward for an equalizer.

Analyzing Odds When the Home Team is Handicapped 1.5 or Higher

In major football leagues, such as the UEFA Champions League, there are often odds like this because top teams face lower-ranked teams. In these cases, the away team's strength is significantly higher, leading to a high handicap, sometimes unreasonably high. To win this bet, you need not only to understand how to analyze football odds but also to constantly update sports-related information about both teams.

Let's analyze a match between Paris Saint Germain and Lorient that took place on January 31, 2021, with a handicap of 2.5.

For this bet, you should immediately bet on the Underdog, meaning betting on the home team Lorient +2.25 at odds of 0.94 for the following reasons:

  • PSG's defense this season has been weak, so if the home team scores a goal, winning the bet is almost guaranteed.

  • PSG has a packed schedule, so they must rotate their squad and conserve energy for their players.

  • Lorient desperately needs points to avoid relegation and will play defensively, making it challenging for PSG to score.

  • It's uncertain whether PSG will have a full squad available for the match.

  • Weather conditions may not be favorable for the match.

If you bet on Under 2.25 and the first half ends with a 0-1 scoreline for Lorient, you can switch to betting on Over during the second half or wait for the odds to reach 2 or 1.75.

Analyzing Odds for Over Bets

The best time to analyze betting odds is about an hour before the match starts when the odds have stabilized, and there are not many fluctuations. At this point, three scenarios may occur:

  • The Over odds increase, the handicap increases, and the odds decrease.

  • The Over team: There's a high chance of key players being injured, changes in the starting lineup, internal conflicts, etc.

  • The Over odds remain stable.

Analyzing Odds for Decreasing Over Bets

If you observe the Over odds decreasing, the handicap decreasing, and the odds increasing, it indicates that the Over team is being undervalued, or the Under team is being overvalued, compared to the odds on the previous day.

Analyzing Odds for Increasing Over Bets

In this scenario, the Under team is highly valued, or the Over team is undervalued, compared to the odds on the previous day.

Analyzing Odds for Over Bets Against the Trend

Although it may seem illogical, this scenario still occurs in football leagues. For example, the team initially favored to be Over may become the Under team due to changes in circumstances before the match.

For these bets, no standard formula for analyzing football odds is foolproof. It's best to avoid such bets altogether, especially when it comes to football league

>>Follow us know what is asian handicap 

Five Principles to Avoid When Analyzing Betting Odds

  • Avoid analyzing odds when not sober: Betting odds analysis directly affects your finances. Therefore, only analyze odds when you are fully sober. If you're tired, intoxicated, etc., it's best not to analyze odds and place bets. Otherwise, your chances of losing bets will be 95% or higher.

  • Only analyze odds when truly sober:

  • Avoid betting on matches you don't know: Bookmakers update numerous matches daily. Naturally, you can't grasp every match or have time to analyze odds for each. So, it's best to avoid betting on matches you're not familiar with. Especially avoid:

  • Matches with unfamiliar teams.

  • Matches with constantly fluctuating odds, even before and during the match.

  • Matches with odds that remain stable.

  • Matches with three halves or with 30-40 minutes per half (usually friendly matches).

  • Matches postponed and rescheduled.

  • Avoid following the crowd: Another golden rule in odds analysis is to avoid following the crowd. When odds seem too good to be true, and everyone is betting on them, it's often the bookmakers who profit in the end.

  • Avoid all forms of aggressive betting: You might come across many guides advocating for aggressive betting. However, it's the shortest path to losing all your money. When you double up after a loss, you might find yourself in a situation where you can't afford to continue betting. Thus, all your betting capital might be lost.

In conclusion, mastering the art of analyzing betting odds requires patience, dedication, and constant learning. By adhering to the principles outlined above and diligently studying the betting odds, you can significantly improve your chances of success in sports betting.


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